Ethereum Nears Key Resistance Level: Is Now the Right Moment to Accumulate?

As of April 18, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is approaching a pivotal technical threshold that could determine its near-term market trajectory. Analysts are closely monitoring the $3,800 resistance level, which has historically acted as both support and resistance in previous market cycles. The current consolidation pattern suggests growing accumulation by institutional investors, while on-chain metrics indicate rising network activity. With the Dencun upgrade fully implemented and Layer-2 adoption accelerating, fundamental factors appear supportive. However, traders should watch for confirmation of breakout volume above $3,850 or potential rejection at this psychological barrier. Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic as ETH’s dominance in the smart contract sector continues to expand against competing chains.

Ethereum at a Crossroads in the Crypto Market

Since June 2020, Ethereum’s dominance — meaning its capitalization relative to the entire crypto market — has dropped from 20% to 7.3% in April 2025. This decline indicates a loss of investor interest in favor of other digital assets. However, some analysts see this weakness as a buying signal.

Historically, ETH bounces back when it reaches this “green zone” of support on its dominance chart. “Can we expect a repeat of history?” wonders Rekt Capital, suggesting an accumulation opportunity. CryptoAnup shares this optimistic view: “When Ethereum’s dominance hits a floor, it is often the beginning of a new bullish cycle.”

Encouraging Technical Signals… Despite Massive Sell-Offs

Despite these positive signals, crypto whale behavior casts a shadow. Wallets holding between 100,000 and 1 million Ethereum sold 1.19 million units this week, worth an estimated $1.8 billion. Meanwhile, only 40% of ETH in circulation are currently in profit — a 4-year low.

Venturefounder sees this as a strong signal: “If this rate drops below 30%, it triggers one of the rare buying signals of the past decade.” Another indicator: Ethereum’s current price meets its realized value, that is, the average price at which each ETH was last transferred. Historically, this convergence often precedes a significant recovery.

Ethereum’s Fundamentals Remain Solid

Despite a 60% drop since its late 2024 peak, Ethereum remains the leading DApp platform, generating over a billion dollars in revenue in Q1 2025. Moreover, the Pectra (May 2025) and Fusaka (end 2025) upgrades promise major technical improvements likely to revive investor confidence.

While technical indicators reach critical thresholds, Ethereum’s current weakness may actually hide a rare opportunity. Between on-chain signals and solid fundamentals, the time seems ripe to closely watch the crypto market’s evolution.

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