News Center

Read in-depth analysis of crypto news

Wednesday, 08/26/2026

Zelensky Awards Medal to Musk, Eyeing Starlink Satellite Internet 'Big Move'

Odaily News: The official website of the President of Ukraine has published a presidential decree announcing that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has awarded the "Order of Liberty" to American billionaire Elon Musk. Market analysts generally believe that Zelensky is "seeking a favor from Musk" as he bestows this honor. The Ukrainian government is reportedly seeking authorization to expand its military's use of SpaceX's "Starlink" satellite internet communications. Ukraine is currently seeking Musk's approval to use Starlink satellites over the deep territory of Russia to strike targets within Russian borders.

Ali Qianwen released the Qwen3.8-Flash model

Ali Qianwen released the Qwen3.8-Flash model, which is described as a multimodal MoE model and an early preview of the Qwen4 architecture.The production version of Qwen3.8-Flash will soon be available through the Qwen Cloud API, with a price of only $0.16 per million input tokens and $0.47 per million output tokens. The model has 125 billion parameters + 51 billion N-gram embedding parameters, but only activates 6 billion parameters per token, achieving extremely high cost-effectiveness.

ECB Executive Board Member: The digital euro will provide the highest level of privacy protection

Piero Cipollone, a member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank, stated in an interview with the Italian media ilsussidiario.net on August 10 that the digital euro will provide the highest level of privacy protection achievable with current technology. Offline payments will be made directly between individuals, with transaction details visible only to the payer and the payee; during online payments, the euro system will not be able to identify the payer or payee, only the commercial banks involved in the transaction will be able to identify them, including for anti-money laundering purposes.The European Parliament reached a negotiating position on the regulation of the digital euro in July, with the negotiation goal with member states to reach an agreement by the end of 2026. The European Central Bank has designated 36 payment service providers, including Deutsche Bank, UniCredit, and Revolut, to participate in a 12-month pilot starting in the second half of 2027, with the first issuance targeted for 2029. Meanwhile, the "21st Century Road Act" signed in July in the United States prohibits the Federal Reserve from issuing central bank digital currency before the end of 2030, unless explicitly authorized by Congress.

Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Released, Waller Still Faces Many Uncertainties

Odaily News: The U.S. PCE price index has been released, which is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. The annual PCE inflation rate is 3.7%, unchanged from June. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, the core PCE inflation rate is 3.3% annually, also unchanged from June. Since this report incorporates other inflation data previously released, PCE figures typically align closely with investor expectations. However, as the Fed grapples with inflation, this report further clarifies the inflation situation, and Fed Chair Waller will deliver a key speech on Friday.

The U.S. CPI data brought good news in July: core CPI fell to a relatively moderate 2.5%. But the PCE inflation rate weights different spending categories differently, so its performance has been notably stronger. Currently, there remain many uncertainties about how Waller views the inflation challenge he has inherited. He has not yet added his economic projections to the quarterly "dot plot," which summarizes Fed officials' forecasts for the economy and interest rates; nor has he indicated whether he might support rate hikes at upcoming meetings, an issue that has already caused divisions among Fed officials. (Jin Shi)

Fed Whisperer: Core PCE 6-Month Annualized Rate at 3.5%

Odaily News: Nick Timiraos, known as the "Fed whisperer," said on X that core PCE rose 0.25% month-over-month in July, translating to an annualized rate of 2.99%. This increase is roughly in line with July 2025, pushing the year-over-year core PCE rate to 3.34% (compared to 2.86% in July 2025). On an annualized basis, the 3-month annualized rate of core PCE is 3.0%, and the 6-month annualized rate is 3.5%.

Analysis: U.S. Inflation Remains Sticky in July, Q2 GDP Growth Unchanged at 1.5%

Odaily News: U.S. annual inflation unexpectedly held steady in July, marking the 65th consecutive month it has remained significantly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target. The stall in the recent decline from elevated inflation levels, influenced by the Iran war, may intensify the internal debate at the Fed over whether to raise rates or hold them steady.

Data released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis on Wednesday showed that the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, rose 3.7% year over year in July, unchanged from June and above the 3.6% expected by analysts. With trade talks between the U.S. and its second-largest trading partner, Canada, breaking down on Friday, a new wave of tariff-induced inflation pressures may be on the horizon.

On a month-over-month basis, the PCE price index rose 0.2% in July, also exceeding economists' expectations. In June, the index had fallen 0.1% month over month, the lowest level since April 2020. The Bureau of Economic Analysis also updated second-quarter economic growth data, keeping the annualized growth rate of real gross domestic product (GDP) at 1.5% for the second quarter. (Jin Shi)

MiniMax's token consumption surged to 20 times that of the beginning of the year in July, and the ARR in August exceeded 800 million USD

MiniMax disclosed at its mid-2026 performance meeting that the company's annual recurring revenue (ARR) in August has exceeded $800 million, with second-quarter revenue increasing by 81.8% compared to the first quarter. The token consumption in July has reached 20 times that of January, and the contribution of the B-end business to the overall ARR has exceeded 80%.MiniMax stated that in terms of computing power, the company is one of the first two independent large model companies in the country to establish a large-scale, long-term stable infrastructure system. The infrastructure is now capable of independently supporting the largest training tasks, and the Effective Training Time Ratio (ETTR) has reached 97%.

Market Pricing Shows Slight Increase in Odds of Fed Rate Hike Next Month

Odaily News: Market pricing shows a slight increase in expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike next month, following the release of U.S. government data indicating that the inflation gauge closely watched by the Fed rose 3.7% year-over-year in July, slightly above economists' expectations. Interest rate futures data show that after the data release, the market priced in approximately a 42% probability of a Fed rate hike in September, up from about 36% before the data release.

Bernstein predicts that Bitcoin will reach a cycle peak of $300,000 in 2029

Wall Street research firm Bernstein released a report predicting that Bitcoin will rise back to $125,000 by the end of 2026 and reach approximately $300,000 at the peak of the 2029 cycle, potentially hitting $500,000 in a bull market scenario. The company maintains a long-term target price of about $1 million for Bitcoin in 2033. Bernstein noted that Bitcoin has risen 28% in the past 10 days, having previously fallen about 50% from its peak in October 2025, and this rebound may signal the end of the current bear market cycle.Bernstein's analysis is based on Bitcoin's roughly four-year halving cycle, dividing the cycle into four stages: breakout, speculation, pullback, and accumulation, and projecting future prices based on historical patterns of price to marginal production cost multiples. In the baseline scenario, this multiple decreases from 1.4 times at the peak of $125,000 in 2025 to 1.25 times at the peak of $300,000 in 2029, and to about 1.2 times when Bitcoin reaches $1 million in 2033.Bernstein also expects that the recovery of Bitcoin will improve the outlook for Strategy, the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin globally. The company holds 840,447 Bitcoins, accounting for about 4% of the total Bitcoin supply. Bernstein maintains an "outperform" rating on Strategy but has lowered its target price from $450 to $350 due to accelerated equity dilution and the updated outlook for the Bitcoin cycle.

Alibaba Unveils Cost-Effective Qwen AI Model

Odaily News: Alibaba's Qwen team has released the Qwen3.8-Flash model, described as a multimodal MoE model and an early preview of the Qwen4 architecture. The production version of Qwen3.8-Flash will soon be available via the Qwen Cloud API, priced at just $0.16 per million input tokens and $0.47 per million output tokens. The model has 125 billion parameters plus 51 billion N-gram embedding parameters, but only activates 6 billion parameters per token, achieving extremely high cost-effectiveness. (Jin Shi)

Grayscale Chief Legal Officer: Zcash Ecosystem Enters New Institutional Phase After Nearly a Decade of Development

Odaily News: Craig Salm, Chief Legal Officer of digital asset management company Grayscale Investments, stated that the company's Zcash investment product has been upgraded to the world's first Zcash Exchange-Traded Product (ETP), marking the entry of privacy-focused crypto assets into broader compliant investment channels. Following the launch of this Zcash ETP, investors can gain exposure to ZEC through SEC-registered traditional financial products. Grayscale stated that this signifies that the Zcash ecosystem, after nearly a decade of development, is entering a new institutional phase.

Salm recalled that Grayscale launched the Zcash Investment Trust in 2018, when the ZEC trust product was just one of four products offered by the company. After years of regulatory communication, the product was recently converted into the Zcash ETP, with the ticker symbol ZCSH. The process of bringing the Zcash product to the public market was not easy. Due to ZEC's privacy features, the company underwent additional regulatory scrutiny when it launched its first publicly quoted Zcash fund in 2021, but ultimately completed the product rollout.

Data shows that the adoption rate of Zcash's private transaction features has been steadily increasing recently. In February 2026, the proportion of ZEC shielded transactions reached an all-time high of 59.3%, and after the latest Ironwood upgrade, it has again approached this level. Currently, there are approximately 4.4 million ZEC in the shielded pool, accounting for about 26% of the circulating supply.

MiniMax: July Token Consumption Surges to 20x January Levels

Odaily News: MiniMax disclosed at its 2026 interim results meeting on the evening of Aug. 26 that its annual recurring revenue (ARR) exceeded $800 million in August, with second-quarter revenue growing 81.8% quarter-over-quarter. Token consumption in July reached 20 times the level in January, and B-end business contributed over 80% of total ARR.

MiniMax stated that in terms of computing power, it is one of the first two independent large model companies in China to establish a large-scale, long-term stable infrastructure system. The infrastructure can independently support the largest training tasks, with an Effective Training Time Ratio (ETTR) reaching 97%.