Bitcoin Price Threatens Its Lowest Since May


Bitcoin drops to lowest weekly close since late 2020 as low liquidity over the weekend exacerbates existing weakness.


Bitcoin (BTC) fell further on June 12 as thin trading volumes over the weekend drove an ongoing sell-off.


Analyst Likens Risk Asset ‘Surge’ to 1929

Data showed BTC/USD hitting lows of $27,150 on its sixth straight day of downside.


With hours to go until the weekly close, the pair was in danger of resuming the losing streak, which had previously seen a record nine weeks of red candles in a row.


To avoid that outcome and put in a second “green” close, BTC/USD needed to gain over $2,000 from the current spot price, which at the time of writing was $27,400.


With support levels failing to change the mood thanks to the thinner liquidity during the weekend’s “out-of-hours” trading, analysts feared that a retest of May’s ten-month lows was due.


Amid continuing talk of “capitulation” across other crypto assets, many focused on the fate of highly-correlated stock markets. Mike McGlone, senior commodities strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, risk assets more broadly could already have seen peak exuberance in the past two years.


“If the stock market keeps going down, virtually everything will have peaked,” he told Twitter followers:

“Just some normal reversion can feel like a crash and the 2020-21 risk asset pump may go down in history like 1929 and 1999.”


At the day’s lows near $27,000, meanwhile, Bitcoin traded the closest to its May “mini” capitulation event since that day of turmoil took place at the hands of the Terra LUNA implosion.


For many, the question was thus how to know where the true macro price floor for Bitcoin could lie.


“If price reaches low 20ks, you will see most of CT calling for 10k or even lower. That will be the bottom confirmation,” popular Twitter account Il Capo of Crypto argued.


As reported, guesses for a generational bottom range from as high as $27,000 to a grimly bearish $14,000 or even lower.



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Ethereum Realized Key Price Crossover

For altcoins, meanwhile, the picture was more precarious.


A look at the top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap revealed heavier daily losses than BTC/USD, with some shedding over 10%.


Ether (ETH), the largest altcoin, fell around 7% on the day, taking the spot price below the realized price for the first time since May.


Realized price is the combined price of the last move of each token, and its breach exposes ETH to increased risk of panic-based capitulation. The realized price of Bitcoin is around $24,000, barely touched during the May decline.


“With the price declines over the weekend, the Ethereum market has fallen below the $ETH Realized Price of $1,781,” on-chain analytics company Glassnode commented:

“This means the market is holding an average unrealized loss of -18.4%. The Realized Price of ETH 2.0 deposits is higher at $2,404, with an unrealized loss of -39.6%.”

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