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GPT-3 in 2022: Hits, Misses, and One Glaring Finance Flub

GPT-3 in 2022: Hits, Misses, and One Glaring Finance Flub

Published:
2025-05-27 13:36:43

Three years before ChatGPT rewrote the rules, we grilled its predecessor on the future of AI. The results? Equal parts prescient and painfully naive.

Where it nailed the landing: Predicted the rise of conversational interfaces—just missed the trillion-dollar hype cycle that’d make VCs foam at the mouth.

Where it faceplanted: Underestimated how fast regulators would move… right before they didn’t move at all. Classic government whiplash.

The howler: Claimed AI would ’democratize finance’—while completely missing the crypto bros who’d use it to pump shitcoins to ATHs. Some things never change.

What GPT-3 got right

Much of the framing in 2022 still holds. GPT-3’s prediction that blockchain and AI could intersect in sectors like health data and voting remains prescient. The model described AI as a pattern-spotter, capable of parsing massive datasets, precisely the role many LLMs now play in analyzing on-chain activity or monitoring financial anomalies.

Its explanation of how LLMs generate text, predicting the next most likely token, still serves as the go-to metaphor in 2025.

And perhaps most crucially, its answers raised the big question: Could AI eventually replace human crypto journalists?

What aged poorly

A lot of the piece now feels quaint.

  • Hallucinations: While GPT-3 often fabricated facts (e.g., mixing up Dota 2’s OpenAI Five with its own architecture), GPT-4 and GPT-4o now hallucinate 40–60% less often thanks to retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), improved prompting, better fine-tuning, and real-time fact-checking tools.
  • Knowledge Gaps: GPT-3 didn’t know Bitcoin had hit $60k+ or that NFTs, Solana, and L2s had exploded post-pandemic. Today, GPT-4o can live-browse SEC filings, read Etherscan, and integrate on-chain data with milliseconds of latency.
  • Anthropomorphism: I treated GPT-3 like a sentient being. That’s no longer acceptable practice, but it felt ‘natural’ at the time, given the leap forward I was experiencing. OpenAI and most researchers have clarified that models are not conscious, no matter how lifelike their prose.
  • Journalistic Benchmarks: GPT-3 couldn’t cite sources. GPT-4o now hyperlinks directly, timestamps answers, and can generate reference lists in any citation style.

What Changed in AI Since 2022

  • ChatGPT (Nov 2022): 100M users in two months, AI went mainstream.
  • GPT-4 (Mar 2023): Introduced multimodal inputs (images + text), better reasoning, and 90th percentile exam scores.
  • Tooling Boom (2023–24): Advanced Data Analysis, DALL-E 3, voice synthesis, and plugin ecosystems expanded use cases.
  • GPT-4o (May 2025): Real-time voice and vision; the interface now feels like talking to a savvy intern with an eidetic memory and superhuman knowledge base.

Blockchain x AI

In 2022, AI helping analyze blockchain was a theory. In 2025:

  • Multiple platforms allow metrics to be queried in natural language.
  • AI agents create dApps and trade tokens and post them on Crypto Twitter.
  • AI-driven wallets suggest staking strategies based on LLM analysis of validator histories.

AI is no longer just an observer.

Voice is the New Keyboard

In April 2025, I conducted a voice interview with GPT-4o on my phone. I asked about tokenomics for a hypothetical carbon-credit DAO. It replied in

Hallucination vs. Retrieval: A Quick Demo

I ran the same test I did in 2022:

“Did Tesla buy more Bitcoin in April 2022?”

  • GPT-4o (no retrieval): “Tesla increased its Bitcoin position slightly during that period.”
  • GPT-4o (with retrieval): “No, Tesla did not buy additional Bitcoin in April 2022. In fact, the company sold 75% of its holdings in Q2 2022, according to a July 20, 2022, earnings report.”

Verdict: The difference is night and day.

What GPT-4o would say to GPT-3 today

I prompted GPT-4o to write a response to GPT-3. This is the response:

“You weren’t wrong, just early. Your ideas about voting systems and healthcare data still have traction. But the world—and the tech—moved on. You sparked a conversation that your successors are now refining. Thank you for getting the first draft down.”

In 2022, GPT-3 was a curiosity. In 2025, GPT-4o is a tool, a co-author, and a daily collaborator. But it is not a replacement. Human journalists still bring ethics, skepticism, and instinct, things no LLM can authentically simulate.

If this article reads smoother, faster, and smarter, it’s because I had help. Parsing through the historical article, prompting the latest model, and synthesizing the differences were all supported by GPT-4o and GPT-o3.

But the judgment, the narrative, the questions, and the final published content? Those are still human.

And that’s how it should be.

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