L’Espagne décroche des améliorations de notation généralisées grâce à une économie robuste

Le miracle économique espagnol impressionne les agences de notation

Résilience en période d'incertitude mondiale

L'économie ibérique défie les pronostics avec une performance qui force le respect - même les plus cyniques de la finance doivent admettre que ces chiffres ne mentent pas. Les upgrades s'accumulent alors que Madrid démontre une discipline budgétaire rare en Europe.

Croissance soutenue malgré les vents contraires

Contrairement aux économies voisines qui stagnent, l'Espagne maintient son cap avec des indicateurs au vert. Les réformes structurelles portent leurs fruits, transformant ce qui était autrefois considéré comme le maillon faible de la zone euro en moteur de croissance.

Les marchés réagissent avec enthousiasme

Les investisseurs internationalux plébiscitent cette résurrection économique, prouvant une fois de plus que dans la finance, seuls les résultats comptent - pas les préjugés. Une leçon que certains gestionnaires de fonds traditionnels feraient bien de méditer.

Ambitious regularization program targets 1 million new residents

This isn’t the first time Spain has worked to regularize undocumented workers as there have been six other times between 1986 and 2002 that helped 1.2 million people. But this is part of the most ambitious effort so far.

Through this program and another one aimed mostly at Latin Americans, Spain is set to add close to 1 million new residents over the next three years. A system for seasonal worker visas is also being expanded.

Spain used to be a country where people left to find work elsewhere. It only became a place where immigrants came in the early 2000s as the economy grew, with foreigners taking jobs that Spaniards couldn’t do or didn’t want. Numbers from the OECD show Spain has had one of the fastest demographic shifts in developed countries this century, with foreign-born people going from 1.6% to 14% of the population in less than 30 years.

Growth projections exceed euro area expectations

The government said earlier this month that it thinks GDP will grow by 2.7% this year, higher than the previous guess of 2.6%, and way above the 1.2% growth expected for the broader euro area.

Earlier this month, S&P Global gave Spain a rating upgrade too, pointing to “notable improvement” in how the country’s balance sheet looks and better resilience to economic shocks.

Judith Arnal works as a senior fellow at the Elcano Royal Institute, a think tank in Madrid. She said Spain has come out as the clear growth leader among the euro area’s largest economies in recent years.

“Spain’s growth has relied not only on booming tourism but also on dynamic non-tourism services, such as business, telecoms and IT services. This marks a shift in the country’s growth pattern, showing that Spain has competitive firms able to export beyond traditional sectors,” Arnal told CNBC by email.

“Growth has also been closely linked to demographic dynamics and job creation. More than half of the jobs created since 2020 have been taken up by immigrants, which has supported overall GDP expansion but meant that GDP per capita has advanced less strongly. This reflects a more extensive than intensive growth model,” she added.

Looking forward, Arnal said that even though political uncertainty hasn’t kept Spain from leading euro area growth, the country could do even better with more stability.

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