CFTC aprova Bitnomial para lançar mercados de previsão de criptomoedas

O regulador de commodities dos EUA dá sinal verde para uma nova fronteira em derivativos digitais.

Bitnomial recebe luz verde da CFTC

A Comissão de Negociação de Futuros de Commodities (CFTC) autorizou a Bitnomial a operar contratos de futuros e opções baseados em preços de criptomoedas. A decisão transforma a empresa em uma bolsa de derivativos registrada, permitindo que lance mercados de previsão onde traders apostam em movimentos futuros de ativos digitais.

Um salto regulatório para o setor

A aprovação não é rotineira—representa um dos primeiros casos em que um regulador tradicional de commodities endossa explicitamente produtos estruturados em torno da volatilidade cripto. A Bitnomial agora pode listar contratos que liquidam em dinheiro, com margens exigidas e mecanismos de compensação supervisionados pela CFTC.

O que isso significa para o mercado

Mais do que apenas outra plataforma de trading, a entrada da Bitnomial sinaliza maturação institucional. Traders ganham uma ferramenta regulada para hedge e especulação, enquanto o ecossistema recebe um voto de confiança de um dos principais órgãos do setor financeiro tradicional—algo que ainda faz alguns banqueiros tradicionais torcerem o nariz, mesmo enquanto ajustam seus próprios relatórios de rentabilidade trimestral.

O movimento acontece em um momento de expansão regulatória para criptoativos, com outras agências como a SEC também delineando seus territórios. A Bitnomial não está apenas entrando no jogo—está reescrevendo parte do livro de regras.

Para o setor, é mais um passo longe da periferia e em direção ao centro das finanças globais. Resta saber se os traders vão abraçar a novidade ou se vão encará-la como mais um produto complexo em um mercado já cheio de siglas—afinal, quem precisa de mais um derivativo quando você já tem FOMO, FUD e agora a bênção da CFTC?

Bitnomial prepares itself to begin prediction markets after securing approval 

Following Bitnomial’s recent approval, sources close to the situation mentioned that the CFTC’s decision will significantly diversify the range of trading products that Bitnomial will provide. Currently, the Chicago-based firm offers perpetuals, futures, options contracts, and leveraged spot trading via its exchange and clearing divisions. 

Moreover, its clearinghouse supports margin and settlement based on cryptocurrency, granting approved products the opportunity to be margined and settled directly using digital assets.

Following these findings, the crypto community expressed its excitement over Bitnomial’s approval. This action prompted the president of Bitnomial, Michael Dunn, to comment on the topic of discussion. Dunn highlighted that this approval marks a recent accomplishment, further elaborating that it enables the firm to support both its exchange and external partners. This move establishes a clearing network that improves the overall prediction market ecosystem, he said.

Concerning reports that the Bitnomial Clearinghouse operates as an infrastructure-only clearing provider, sources clarified that the firm decided to undertake this function rather than rivalling retail businesses.

This strategy grants partners the green light to access its margin and settlement systems. The decision creates room for collateral conversion between US dollars and cryptocurrencies.

Meanwhile, analysts discovered that Bitnomial’s recent approval followed the green light to begin a US-based spot cryptocurrency trading platform regulated by CFTC. The platform enables clients to effectively purchase, sell and conduct trade of both leveraged and non-leveraged cryptocurrency products on a federally government-regulated exchange.

Prediction markets become increasingly popular in the crypto industry 

The CFTC’s recent decision on Bitnomial’s request to start prediction markets in the US demonstrates an increasing popularity among prediction markets this year. 

To support this claim, DefiLlama shared data indicating that the prediction market Kalshi has successfully achieved $5.27 billion in trading volume over the last month.  On the other hand, Polymarket, which is based on blockchain, recently achieved $2 billion at the same time.

This accomplishment followed Polymarket’s acquisition of approval from the CFTC in November to operate an intermediated trading platform. This enabled its users to access it via registered brokers due to US market regulations.

The approval was secured after the CFTC and the US Department of Justice discontinued an investigation in July. In this investigation, they examined whether Polymarket permitted its users based in the US to trade. The investigation involved an FBI search of founder Shayne Coplan’s house.

In the meantime, sources mentioned that Polymarket finalises contracts using the USDC stablecoin on the Polygon blockchain. It has also recently reported the formation of partnerships, including collaborations with UFC and Zuffa Boxing, as well as fantasy sports operator PrizePicks, in November.

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