73.64% of Traders Bet on a Trump-Fueled Rally—Here’s Why They Might Be Wrong

Markets are buzzing as nearly three-quarters of investors position for a surge tied to Trump’s latest moves. But remember—crowds are usually right until they’re catastrophically wrong.

Politicians and pumps: a match made in volatility heaven. Will this be another ’buy the rumor, sell the news’ circus? Only your portfolio knows for sure.

More inflow — Is this the final confirmation?

There’s been a major surge in Open Interest (OI) over the past 24 hours in the derivatives market, as traders open more positions on TRUMP.

Within this period, OI saw a climb of 28.42%, rising to $724.48 million.

Source: Coinglass

While this confirms growing interest, it doesn’t directly imply whether these traders are dominated by buyers or sellers.

Analyzing the Long-to-Short Ratio of the market—a metric that shows whether buying or selling volume dominates—confirms that buyers are currently in control.

At the time of writing, the ratio is at a level of 1.0141, meaning more buyers are present in the futures market.

Adding to this bullish sentiment is the OI-Weighted Funding Rate of TRUMP in the derivatives market.

Source: Coinglass

Since the 18th of May, TRUMP has maintained a steady upward trend, marking four consecutive days of bullish momentum.

A positive OI Weighted Funding Rate confirms that derivatives traders have consistently opened more buying contracts than selling contracts.

Meanwhile, spot traders are shifting toward a bullish stance, as Exchange Netflow has significantly declined. This indicates that selling pressure has eased, allowing buyers to step in once again.

Source: Coinglass

Traders have purchased $5.84 million worth of TRUMP from the market, following a previous day’s sell-off of $11.80 million.

This confirms that profit-takers temporarily dominated the sell-off, but overall, TRUMP remains bullish in the market.

Will TRUMP investors’ confidence stay strong?

Confidence among investors in the market has remained high.

In fact, in the last 24 hours, the number of investors anticipating a TRUMP rally has seen a major jump from 64.71% to 73.64%.

Source: CoinMarketCap

Market sentiment remains bullish, with investors expecting TRUMP to rise.

If this outlook persists, spot traders will likely continue adding inflows, while Futures traders maintain their bullish positions.