3 альткоина на грани массовых ликвидаций в третью неделю ноября
Крипторынок содрогается: эти активы могут спровоцировать цепную реакцию.
Топ-3 монеты под прицелом маржин-коллов:
1. BNB — несмотря на статус «голубого фишки», держится на опасной дистанции от критических уровней ликвидаций.
2. SOL — бывший фаворит институциональных инвесторов теперь балансирует на краю.
3. XRP — вечный «зомби-токен» снова в зоне риска.
Всего $420 млн позиций висят на волоске — классический ноябрьский «сброс багажа» перед сезоном Santa Rally. Хедж-фонды уже потирают руки в ожидании дешевого реинвеста.
Ethereum (ETH)
Judging by the liquidation map, there is a clear imbalance between longs and shorts for ETH.
Traders are more actively entering leveraged shorts than longs. If ETH rises this week, it is the bears who risk losing the most.
ETH liquidation map on exchanges. Source: Coinglass
If the price rises above $3,500, short positions worth more than $3 billion will be at risk. At the same time, if it falls below $2,700, the volume of long liquidations will be only about $1.2 billion.
Sellers in shorts still have reasons to hold their positions. Just last week, $728.3 million left ETH-ETF, and crypto billionaire Arthur Hayes even sold his share in Ether.
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Nevertheless, on the chart, ETH is still holding an important support zone around $3,100. This level has repeatedly served as a starting point for a sharp reversal.
In addition, the sentiment indicator shows «extreme fear». Historically, in such moments, ETH often rebounded with noticeable strength. If history repeats itself, short traders may be liquidated.
Solana (SOL)
Solana Solana shows the same picture as ETH. On the liquidation map, once again, the advantage is on the shorts’ side.
A drop below $150 in November set the market up for further decline. Many speculators are already expecting a drop to $100. And this month, not only retail traders but also whales have appeared in shorts.
However, ETF data looks quite different. According to SoSoValue, on November 14, over $12 million flowed into US ETF for SOL, and over the week more than $46 million. At the same time, funds for BTC and ETH, on the contrary, saw capital outflows.
Daily inflow into SOL-ETF. Source: SoSoValue
Strong demand for ETF could be a reason for a rebound, as investors continue to enter Solana despite the drawdown.
According to the liquidation map, if SOL rises to $156, the volume of short liquidations could approach $800 million.
SOL liquidation map on exchanges. Source: Coinglass
But if the token drops to $120, longs will be at risk, for about $350 million.
Zcash (ZEC)
Unlike ETH and SOL, the liquidation map for ZEC shows that the main risks are now with the longers.
Short-term traders seem confident that ZEC will continue to make «higher highs» in November. And they have reasons for this. The volume of tokens in the private pool Zcash Shielded Pool has risen sharply, and some analysts still expect that ZEC could theoretically reach as high as $10,000.
ZEC liquidation map on exchanges. Source: Coinglass
Nevertheless, the $700 mark remains serious resistance. The price has bounced off this level several times already, and analysts do not rule out a correction this week.
If ZEC drops below $600, longs could be wiped out by more than $123 million.
See also: A staking ETF on SEI appeared on the DTCC list — the market is preparing for the SEC decision
According to Coinglass, open interest in ZEC futures in November hit a record high of $1.38 billion. This means the market is overloaded with leverage, and the risks of volatile moves with mass liquidations are only increasing.
Open interest in ZCash futures. Source: Coinglass
With such volumes, holding a long can be profitable in the short term. But without a clear stop or profit taking, the position can easily turn negative.
