Ken Griffin da Citadel Revela: Ouro, Prata e BTC Lideram a ’Operação de Desvalorização’ em 2025
Os ativos refúgio estão virando o jogo contra a inflação global.
O Impulso Triplo
Metais preciosos e criptomoedas formam a tríade defensiva enquanto os bancos centrais continuam imprimindo. Ouro consolida posição histórica como reserva de valor, prata surpreende com ganhos setoriais e Bitcoin desafia críticos com adoção institucional recorde.
Movimentos Estratégicos
Fundos hedge realocam percentuais significativos para posições não-correlacionadas. A corrida por proteção contra desvalorização monetária acelera realocações bilionárias - porque confiar em governos quando você pode confiar em matemática?
O mercado global está reescrevendo as regras do jogo financeiro, deixando os tradicionais de fora da festa.
Griffin: US economy may be over-supplied with fiat
Griffin claimed the US economy was operating with a stimulus that would be fitting in a recession. The inflow of liquidity is boosting all markets, as BTC, gold and S&P 500 now move together to new peaks.
Griffin’s comments come at a time when the US M2 money supply is expanding once again. The months of expansion translated into a BTC rally, but the real trigger for the new all-time peak was the US government shutdown.
The M2 money supply in the USA follows worldwide trends, serving as a driver to all markets. | Source: Federal Reserve.
Crypto has been used as a hedge against inflation in highly insecure markets and in cases of currency shocks. However, the current market cycle sees BTC emerge as a safe haven for developed markets.
BTC dips under $124,000
Despite the overall expansion trend, BTC remains relatively volatile. After breaking new all-time highs above $125,000, BTC dipped to $123,900, as fluctuations in that range are still common.
BTC now stands at a crossroad in the short term, for either achieving an extended cycle, or ending the current bull rally. Over the course of 2025, the bull market was expected to continue in 2026 as well.
The addition of BTC as a debasement trade asset may extend the cycle and boost the prices beyond a short-term rally. This time around, BTC selling and capitulation are more strategic, and the asset has traded without any deep drawdowns of up to 70% or more. In the short term, BTC is still prone to rapid price moves based on liquidations, while retaining the overall bullish trend in 2025.
BTC still trades on long-term bullish expectations for a higher price range. Inflows into ETF and treasury companies continue, with limited selling by whale wallets. At the same time, accumulation is expanding, and corporate buyers are also increasing their treasuries.
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