Bitcoin : il ne lui manque qu’une hausse de 6,24% pour clôturer 2025 dans le vert
Le compte à rebours est lancé. À la veille de la clôture de l'année, tous les regards sont braqués sur le prix du Bitcoin. Le roi des cryptomonnaies se trouve à un seuil critique.
Le dernier sprint
Le marché retient son souffle. Pour inscrire une performance annuelle positive, le Bitcoin doit réaliser un dernier effort. Une simple poussée suffirait, mais le temps presse. Les traders scrutent chaque mouvement, chaque transaction majeure, cherchant le signal qui déclenchera la ruée finale.
Une pression symbolique
Ce pourcentage cible n'est pas qu'un chiffre technique. Il est devenu le symbole de la résilience—ou de la fragilité—du marché en 2025. Atteindre ce niveau transformerait le récit, offrant une bouffée d'oxygène aux investisseurs après une année de turbulences. Le manquer, c'est ouvrir la porte aux analyses pessimistes et aux traditionnels « je vous l'avais bien dit » de la finance traditionnelle, toujours ravis de pointer du doigt la volatilité des actifs numériques.
L'enjeu dépasse la simple performance journalière. Il s'agit de psychologie de marché, de momentum, et de la capacité du Bitcoin à tenir ses promesses de valeur refuge à long terme, malgré les secousses à court terme. La ligne d'arrivée est en vue. Reste à savoir si le Bitcoin aura le souffle pour la franchir en tête.
Bitcoin plummets 30% from October peak
Bitcoin reached an all-time high of over $125,000 in October, just days before a historic market crash put a dent in Bitcoin’s rally and caused a decline in crypto prices across the board.
Since hitting its all-time high, BTC price has plunged by roughly 30% and found a local bottom near $80,000 in November. That has led analysts to analyze whether Bitcoin’s bull rally is a thing of the past and whether a new bear market has begun.
Meanwhile, 2025 volatility metrics indicate elevated moves and declining speculative interest. Bitcoin trading analysts note that trading is currently below crucial longer-term technical levels, such as the 365-day moving average, a move that many analysts view as a signal of weakening structural price support.
Market analysts are divided on whether a recovery will occur or if the decline will persist into the new year, often focusing on macroeconomic and liquidity factors affecting the leading cryptocurrency’s price.
Bitcoin has been trading well under its 365-day moving average, a critical support level, since November, breaking the structural uptrend that began two years back.
Fed’s rate cuts lift crypto sentiment
Lower interest rates are positive price catalysts for risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies, which tend to rally with fresh liquidity injections.
In 2025, the Federal Reserve issued three 25-basis-point (BPS) interest rate cuts, but Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell provided mixed forward guidance at the Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) December meeting.
“There is no risk-free path for policy,” Powell said, casting doubt about another interest rate cut at the next FOMC meeting in January.
According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group’s FedWatch tool, just 18.8% of investors expect an interest rate cut in January.
With just a few trading days remaining in 2025, the spotlight is on whether Bitcoin’s price can generate a last‑minute rally. A successful ~6.24% increase could allow BTC to buck the broader trend and close the year positively, preserving a psychological and technical milestone for market participants.
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