Avalanche and Solana Prepare for Sharp Volatility

With tokens like Solana and Avalanche nearing dramatic corrections, Ethereum’s transition to Proof-of-Stake appears to have become a “sell the news” event.

 

In Brief

• Avalancheand Solana have fallen 2% after the Ethereum Merge.
• Further selling pressure could trigger a major correction.
• SOL and AVAX need to reverse course soon to invalidate the bearish thesis.

 

Avalanche and Solana Prepare for Sharp Volatility

Solana and Avalanche appear to be at risk of a steep correction. These tokens need to reclaim vital support levels quickly to avoid further losses.

 

Solana and Avalanche experienced a 2% correction over the past few hours, which correlates with Ethereum’s successful transition to Proof-of-Stake.

 

Solana appears to form a bear flag on its daily chart as the hype around the Merge fades. This technical formation anticipates that breaking the $30 support level can trigger a 70% correction. If validated, a spike in selling pressure could push SOL below $10.

 

Despite the pessimistic outlook, not everything is lost for Solana. The Layer 1 blockchain’s token needs to reclaim its 50-day moving average as support to have a chance of rebounding. Moving past this resistance level could help SOL rise to $48 or even to the 200-day moving average at $60.

 

Avalanche also appears to be developing a bearish technical formation on its daily chart. AVAX could be forming the right shoulder of a head-and-shoulders pattern. A sustained daily close below $17 can increase the odds of a steep correction.

 

If this happens and Avalanche dips below the pattern’s neckline, a 40% correction to $11 becomes a strong possibility. For AVAX to advance higher, it must slice through the 50-day moving average to invalidate this bearish thesis. Doing so could induce a surge toward its 200-day moving average at $42.

 

Given the bearish scenarios for Solana and Avalanche, it is important to wait for a decisive close below support or above resistance before attempting to determine the next major price move.